Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Queretaro win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.
