Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 62.55%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 14.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
