MX23RW : Saturday, February 25 21:05:14
SM
EFL Cup final: 19 hrs 24 mins
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK at The County Ground
Swindon
1 - 1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 36.5%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
36.5%27.23%36.27%
Both teams to score 50.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7%55.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48%76.51%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99%65.01%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.18%
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 36.5%
    Harrogate Town 36.26%
    Draw 27.23%
Swindon TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 7.97%
2-0 @ 6.48%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.5%
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.01%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 36.26%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient34218545212471
2Carlisle UnitedCarlisle331610754342058
3Stevenage31169643261757
4Northampton TownNorthampton321510745311455
5Stockport CountyStockport331661148311754
6Salford City331571147351252
7Mansfield TownMansfield32157105142952
8Bradford CityBradford3114983829951
9Sutton UnitedSutton33148113638-250
10Swindon TownSwindon32139104335848
11BarrowBarrow33145143640-447
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster32144143643-746
13Tranmere RoversTranmere33128133332144
14Walsall31101383528743
15AFC Wimbledon321012103333042
16Grimsby Town30108123438-438
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe32814102839-1138
18Newport CountyNewport32910133136-537
19Colchester UnitedColchester3498173140-935
20Gillingham3189142135-1433
21Harrogate TownHarrogate3279163750-1330
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool34610183662-2628
23Crawley TownCrawley3068163452-1826
24Rochdale3457222752-2522
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