Both teams have been firing on all cylinders of late, and the confidence will be there to add to their respective recent runs. With that in mind, we can see a competitive draw being played out in Staffordshire, one which would benefit Exeter slightly more than the home side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
