MX23RW : Thursday, December 29 20:04:31
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Sep 18, 2021 at 2pm UK at Sixfields
Northampton
1 - 1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
40.41%28.74%30.84%
Both teams to score 44.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.48%61.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.62%81.37%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17%29.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09%65.9%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88%36.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1%72.9%
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 40.41%
    Swindon Town 30.84%
    Draw 28.73%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 3.24%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 4.09%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.73%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 6.76%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 30.84%

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