Northampton Town 3-0 Carlisle United - League Two - October 30, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 30, 2021 at 2pm UK at Sixfields

Northampton

3 - 0

Carlisle

Lewis (41', 57', 67' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Armer (66'), Guy (82')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Carlisle United
38.99%	27.72%	33.29%

Both teams to score 48.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.6%

57.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.78%

78.22%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36%

28.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55%

64.45%

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8%

32.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31%

68.69%

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 38.99%

Carlisle United 33.29%

Draw 27.71%

Northampton Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 3.01% 3-2 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.06% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.99%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 10.45% 1-2 @ 7.4% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.29%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	41	24	12	5	56	27	29	84
2	Northampton Town Northampton	42	20	14	8	55	38	17	74
3	Stevenage	41	20	13	8	56	38	18	73
4	Stockport County Stockport	42	20	11	11	58	34	24	71
5	Carlisle United Carlisle	42	19	14	9	60	37	23	71
6	Bradford City Bradford	41	19	14	8	54	35	19	71
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	41	18	12	11	65	50	15	66
8	Salford City	42	19	9	14	64	49	15	66
9	Barrow Barrow	42	18	8	16	46	47	-1	62
10	Sutton United Sutton	42	15	12	15	42	47	-5	57
11	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	42	14	11	17	40	44	-4	53
12	Swindon Town Swindon	41	13	13	15	52	50	2	52
13	Grimsby Town	41	13	13	15	45	52	-7	52
14	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	42	15	7	20	43	59	-16	52
15	Walsall	42	11	18	13	42	42	0	51
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	41	12	15	14	41	51	-10	51
17	Newport County Newport	41	12	14	15	43	47	-4	50
18	Gillingham	42	12	12	18	30	45	-15	48
19	AFC Wimbledon	43	11	14	18	46	53	-7	47
20	Colchester United Colchester	42	11	12	19	40	47	-7	45
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	41	9	15	17	49	61	-12	42
22	Crawley Town Crawley	42	10	11	21	45	69	-24	41
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	42	8	15	19	48	72	-24	39
24	Rochdale	42	8	9	25	39	65	-26	33