Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
