We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Port Vale
Hartlepool have fought their way back into several matches this season, showing an ability to compete against the top teams in League Two, but they lack that quality and consistency in the final third, which has enabled Port Vale to prevail in many encounters this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.
