Hartlepool United 2-1 Northampton Town - League Two - October 9, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 9, 2021 at 3pm UK at Victoria Park

Hartlepool

2 - 1

Northampton

Ferguson (53'), Molyneux (83')
Ferguson (56')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hoskins (51')
Hoskins (66'), McGowan (79')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 25.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Northampton Town
46.8%	27.42%	25.78%

Both teams to score 45.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81%

59.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38%

79.61%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66%

25.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88%

60.11%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.04%

38.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.31%

75.68%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 46.8%

Northampton Town 25.78%

Draw 27.42%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 8.77% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.8%	1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.78%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	35	21	9	5	46	22	24	72
2	Carlisle United Carlisle	35	18	10	7	58	35	23	64
3	Stevenage	34	18	9	7	49	31	18	63
4	Northampton Town Northampton	35	16	12	7	48	33	15	60
5	Stockport County Stockport	36	17	8	11	49	31	18	59
6	Bradford City Bradford	35	16	11	8	43	30	13	59
7	Salford City	36	16	8	12	54	41	13	56
8	Mansfield Town Mansfield	33	16	7	10	54	43	11	55
9	Sutton United Sutton	36	15	10	11	40	39	1	55
10	Barrow Barrow	36	15	7	14	38	41	-3	52
11	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	35	15	5	15	38	46	-8	50
12	Swindon Town Swindon	34	13	10	11	45	38	7	49
13	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	36	13	9	14	35	35	0	48
14	Walsall	34	10	14	10	36	32	4	44
15	AFC Wimbledon	35	10	12	13	37	41	-4	42
16	Grimsby Town	33	11	9	13	36	41	-5	42
17	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	34	9	15	10	33	43	-10	42
18	Newport County Newport	35	9	12	14	34	41	-7	39
19	Gillingham	35	9	11	15	23	37	-14	38
20	Colchester United Colchester	36	9	8	19	31	43	-12	35
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	36	8	11	17	41	54	-13	35
22	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	36	6	12	18	38	64	-26	30
23	Crawley Town Crawley	34	7	8	19	37	58	-21	29
24	Rochdale	36	6	7	23	29	53	-24	25