Hartlepool United 1-2 Newport County - League Two - November 12, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Nov 12, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Victoria Park

Hartlepool

1 - 2

Newport

Ferguson (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Baker-Richardson (32'), Telford (90+3')
Cooper (60'), Demetriou (62'), Upson (90')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Newport County
37.23%	26.05%	36.71%

Both teams to score 54.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.59%

50.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.66%

72.34%

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66%

26.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.53%

61.46%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37%

26.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14%

61.86%

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 37.23%

Newport County 36.71%

Draw 26.05%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 9.36% 2-1 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-1 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.34% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.01% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.28% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.14% 1-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.71%

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League Two Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Leyton Orient	41	24	12	5	56	27	29	84
2	Northampton Town Northampton	42	20	14	8	55	38	17	74
3	Stevenage	41	20	13	8	56	38	18	73
4	Stockport County Stockport	42	20	11	11	58	34	24	71
5	Carlisle United Carlisle	42	19	14	9	60	37	23	71
6	Bradford City Bradford	41	19	14	8	54	35	19	71
7	Mansfield Town Mansfield	41	18	12	11	65	50	15	66
8	Salford City	42	19	9	14	64	49	15	66
9	Barrow Barrow	42	18	8	16	46	47	-1	62
10	Sutton United Sutton	42	15	12	15	42	47	-5	57
11	Tranmere Rovers Tranmere	42	14	11	17	40	44	-4	53
12	Swindon Town Swindon	41	13	13	15	52	50	2	52
13	Grimsby Town	41	13	13	15	45	52	-7	52
14	Doncaster Rovers Doncaster	42	15	7	20	43	59	-16	52
15	Walsall	42	11	18	13	42	42	0	51
16	Crewe Alexandra Crewe	41	12	15	14	41	51	-10	51
17	Newport County Newport	41	12	14	15	43	47	-4	50
18	Gillingham	42	12	12	18	30	45	-15	48
19	AFC Wimbledon	43	11	14	18	46	53	-7	47
20	Colchester United Colchester	42	11	12	19	40	47	-7	45
21	Harrogate Town Harrogate	41	9	15	17	49	61	-12	42
22	Crawley Town Crawley	42	10	11	21	45	69	-24	41
23	Hartlepool United Hartlepool	42	8	15	19	48	72	-24	39
24	Rochdale	42	8	9	25	39	65	-26	33