MX23RW : Sunday, January 1 23:59:36
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Sunday, January 1
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK at Victoria Park
Hartlepool
3 - 2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Harrogate Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
37.45%27.18%35.37%
Both teams to score 50.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89%55.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64%76.36%
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56%28.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81%64.19%
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3%29.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25%65.75%
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 37.44%
    Harrogate Town 35.37%
    Draw 27.18%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.11%
2-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 3.4%
3-0 @ 2.8%
3-2 @ 2.06%
4-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.89%
0-0 @ 8.44%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.18%
0-1 @ 10.25%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.22%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.37%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient23165235122353
2Stevenage23146334171748
3Northampton TownNorthampton23127438241443
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle24109537251239
5Bradford CityBradford2311663023739
6Swindon TownSwindon2510872825338
7Mansfield TownMansfield2411583331238
8Doncaster RoversDoncaster2411493034-437
9Walsall2310672921836
10Salford City2310583023735
11BarrowBarrow23112102928135
12Sutton UnitedSutton25105102531-635
13Stockport CountyStockport23104933231034
14AFC Wimbledon249782928134
15Tranmere RoversTranmere249692520533
16Grimsby Town238692627-130
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe227781927-828
18Newport CountyNewport2366112125-424
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2365123036-623
20Crawley TownCrawley2356122437-1321
21Colchester UnitedColchester2455142131-1020
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2447132445-2119
23Rochdale2243151835-1715
24Gillingham222812727-2014
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