Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
