MX23RW : Saturday, April 1 21:30:33
SM
Saturday, April 1
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK at The People's Pension Stadium
Crawley
1 - 0
Mansfield
Tilley (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Benning (62'), Quinn (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
42.4%27.17%30.42%
Both teams to score 49.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.91%56.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.84%77.16%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85%26.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78%61.22%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.46%33.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.82%70.18%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 42.4%
    Mansfield Town 30.42%
    Draw 27.17%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.11%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 42.4%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 8.77%
2-2 @ 4.71%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.17%
0-1 @ 9.58%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 5.23%
1-3 @ 2.56%
0-3 @ 1.91%
2-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 30.42%

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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient382211550252577
2Northampton TownNorthampton391913753341970
3Stevenage381911852351768
4Carlisle UnitedCarlisle391812958372166
5Stockport CountyStockport3918101152331964
6Bradford CityBradford381713848341464
7Salford City391891261441763
8Mansfield TownMansfield3817101159461361
9BarrowBarrow39177154244-258
10Sutton UnitedSutton391512124141057
11Swindon TownSwindon381312135045551
12Doncaster RoversDoncaster39156184054-1451
13Walsall391117114036450
14Tranmere RoversTranmere391311153840-250
15Grimsby Town381212144146-548
16AFC Wimbledon401113164146-546
17Crewe AlexandraCrewe381015133647-1145
18Newport CountyNewport381014143843-544
19Gillingham391111172742-1544
20Harrogate TownHarrogate38912174355-1239
21Colchester UnitedColchester39911193446-1238
22Crawley TownCrawley39910204364-2137
23Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool39714184368-2535
24Rochdale3978243459-2529
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