Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
