MX23RW : Sunday, February 12 03:15:18
SM
Sunday, February 12
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Fratton Park
Portsmouth
2 - 2
Plymouth
Brown (6'), Raggett (90+5')
Raggett (19'), Curtis (24'), Harness (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (48', 80')
Grant (4'), Edwards (32'), Houghton (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.1%23.56%17.33%
Both teams to score 45.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33%48.67%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.41%80.59%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 59.1%
    Plymouth Argyle 17.33%
    Draw 23.56%
PortsmouthDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.72%
2-0 @ 11.8%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.36%
3-2 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 59.1%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 3.86%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.56%
0-1 @ 6.44%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.6%
1-3 @ 1.21%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 17.33%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds28187348183061
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29187451302161
3Ipswich TownIpswich291510454292555
4Derby CountyDerby28158545212453
5Bolton WanderersBolton30158738231553
6Barnsley27145836261047
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough271421145321344
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe281351038271144
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury29135113631544
10Portsmouth2791173533238
11Exeter CityExeter29108114241138
12Charlton AthleticCharlton2891094339437
13Bristol Rovers29107124352-937
14Port Vale29107122940-1137
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3098133436-235
16Lincoln CityLincoln2771372730-334
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood28611113133-229
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2885152335-1229
19MK Dons2984172740-1328
20Burton Albion2877143756-1928
21Morecambe2869133145-1427
22Accrington StanleyAccrington2768132545-2026
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2875162447-2326
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3056192457-3321
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