MX23RW : Sunday, February 26 05:07:20
SM
EFL Cup final: 11 hrs 22 mins
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK at Fratton Park
Portsmouth
1 - 1
Cheltenham
FT(HT: 1-1)
Freestone (6')
Hussey (49'), Crowley (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawCheltenham Town
50.93%25.57%23.5%
Both teams to score 48.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83%54.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42%75.58%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77%54.23%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.78%38.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.01%74.99%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 50.94%
    Cheltenham Town 23.5%
    Draw 25.56%
PortsmouthDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.59%
2-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.87%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 5.82%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.5%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds32218359223771
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth33208559372268
3Ipswich TownIpswich331712461313063
4Bolton WanderersBolton34188850252562
5Barnsley31185849282159
6Derby CountyDerby32169751292257
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe321651144311353
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury33156124134751
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough311621353401350
10Portsmouth31111284136545
11Fleetwood TownFleetwood331012113634242
12Exeter CityExeter33119134443142
13Bristol Rovers33118144755-841
14Charlton AthleticCharlton321010124544140
15Lincoln CityLincoln3181673032-240
16Port Vale34117163449-1540
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3499163644-836
18Burton Albion3298154058-1835
19Cheltenham TownCheltenham3296172544-1933
20Morecambe33710163353-2031
21Accrington StanleyAccrington31710142647-2131
22MK Dons3385203052-2229
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3385202654-2829
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3458212664-3823
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