MX23RW : Monday, April 10 19:23:11
SM
Monday, April 10
Jan 22, 2022 at 3pm UK at Home Park
Plymouth
1 - 2
Lincoln
Jephcott (34')
Garrick (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marquis (51'), Melbourne (90+2')
Bramall (62'), Bishop (82'), Cullen (88'), McGrandles (90+5')

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Lincoln City

Plymouth Argyle head into this match as firm favourites, but the visitors have been impressive since the turn of the year, and that is something they shall be trying to continue. Ultimately, the home side should have just enough quality and confidence to edge this one, but it will likely be a hard-fought victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
40.13%26.28%33.59%
Both teams to score 52.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32%51.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54%73.46%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67%25.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89%60.11%
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.86%29.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.93%65.07%
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 40.13%
    Lincoln City 33.59%
    Draw 26.27%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.96%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 40.13%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.38%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.1%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.17%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 33.59%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds412412571323984
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth40258770442683
3Ipswich TownIpswich402313479324782
4Barnsley402461069373278
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough412241571482370
6Bolton WanderersBolton4019111054322268
7Derby CountyDerby4119111162422068
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe411981455421365
9Portsmouth4116151055451063
10Charlton AthleticCharlton411413146253955
11Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury40167174852-455
12Exeter CityExeter411411165955453
13Lincoln CityLincoln401119103941-252
14Bristol Rovers39149165361-851
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood411214154545050
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham411210193552-1746
17Port Vale411210194060-2046
18Burton Albion39129185174-2345
19MK Dons41119213858-2042
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd40913184050-1040
21Accrington StanleyAccrington40911203366-3338
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge40107233361-2837
23Morecambe42714213871-3335
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4168272976-4726
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