Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Burton Albion - League One - October 9, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burton Albion
38.9%	27.17%	33.93%

Both teams to score 50.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.77%

55.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.54%

76.46%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.35%

27.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8%

63.2%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.32%

30.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.07%

66.92%

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 38.9%

Burton Albion 33.93%

Draw 27.17%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.9%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.17%	0-1 @ 10.02% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.93% Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.93%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
P	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	45	30	8	7	79	46	33	98
P	Ipswich Town Ipswich	45	28	13	4	99	33	66	97
3	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	45	27	12	6	80	37	43	93
4	Barnsley	45	26	8	11	80	45	35	86
5	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	45	22	12	11	59	34	25	78
6	Derby County Derby	45	21	13	11	67	45	22	76
7	Peterborough United Peterborough	45	23	5	17	73	54	19	74
8	Portsmouth	45	17	18	10	59	48	11	69
9	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	45	20	8	17	57	49	8	68
10	Charlton Athletic Charlton	45	16	13	16	68	64	4	61
11	Lincoln City Lincoln	45	13	20	12	46	47	-1	59
12	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	45	14	15	16	51	49	2	57
13	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	44	16	8	20	50	59	-9	56
14	Exeter City Exeter	45	14	11	20	61	66	-5	53
15	Bristol Rovers	44	14	11	19	55	68	-13	53
16	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	45	14	11	20	43	59	-16	53
17	Burton Albion	44	14	10	20	56	79	-23	52
18	Port Vale	45	13	10	22	47	68	-21	49
19	Oxford United Oxford Utd	45	11	14	20	48	54	-6	47
20	MK Dons	45	11	11	23	44	66	-22	44
21	Morecambe	45	10	14	21	45	75	-30	44
22	Cambridge United Cambridge	44	12	7	25	39	67	-28	43
23	Accrington Stanley Accrington	45	10	11	24	38	76	-38	41
R	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	45	6	9	30	31	87	-56	27