Oxford United 3-2 Portsmouth - League One - February 5, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK at Kassam Stadium

McNally (6'), Brannagan (82'), Holland (90+6')
Brannagan (64'), Seddon (77'), Kane (80'), Moore (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jacobs (10'), Curtis (51')
Jacobs (24'), Hirst (28'), Hume (45+4'), Curtis (81'), Bazunu (88'), Tunnicliffe (90+2'), Raggett (90+11')
Morrell (16')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth only have themselves to blame for not being in the playoff mix, with Saturday's clash against sixth-placed Oxford well and truly a must-win if they harbour any remaining hopes of promotion. Oxford will be confident of extending their impressive run of form, with a home victory the most likely scenario this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 24.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
51.39%	23.87%	24.73%

Both teams to score 55.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8%

46.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51%

68.49%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01%

17.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.15%

48.85%

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.24%

32.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.68%

69.31%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 51.39%

Portsmouth 24.73%

Draw 23.87%

Oxford United	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 2.37% 4-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.54% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.89% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.58% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 3.67% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.48% Total : 24.73%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	42	27	8	7	73	45	28	89
2	Ipswich Town Ipswich	42	25	13	4	87	33	54	88
3	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	43	25	12	6	75	36	39	87
4	Barnsley	42	25	7	10	74	38	36	82
5	Peterborough United Peterborough	43	23	4	16	73	51	22	73
6	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	42	20	12	10	56	33	23	72
7	Derby County Derby	43	20	12	11	65	44	21	72
8	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	43	20	8	15	57	44	13	68
9	Portsmouth	43	16	17	10	57	47	10	65
10	Charlton Athletic Charlton	43	15	13	15	63	59	4	58
11	Lincoln City Lincoln	42	12	20	10	42	43	-1	56
12	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	42	16	8	18	50	55	-5	56
13	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	43	13	15	15	50	47	3	54
14	Exeter City Exeter	43	14	11	18	60	58	2	53
15	Bristol Rovers	41	14	10	17	55	64	-9	52
16	Burton Albion	41	13	10	18	55	77	-22	49
17	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	42	12	11	19	37	54	-17	47
18	Port Vale	43	12	10	21	43	65	-22	46
19	MK Dons	43	11	10	22	40	61	-21	43
20	Oxford United Oxford Utd	42	9	14	19	41	52	-11	41
21	Cambridge United Cambridge	42	11	7	24	36	63	-27	40
22	Morecambe	43	8	14	21	39	71	-32	38
23	Accrington Stanley Accrington	42	9	11	22	36	73	-37	38
R	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	43	6	9	28	30	81	-51	27