Both teams need a victory to achieve their respective goals, but we think that the Dons will take the spoils on Tuesday with the visitors currently unbeaten in their last 10 away games, while eight of those contests have resulted in a MK Dons victory.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
