Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.
