Gillingham 1-0 Crewe Alexandra - League One - February 1, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham

1 - 0

Crewe

Lloyd (17' pen.)
Tutonda (65'), McKenzie (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Gillingham and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

There is no downplaying the importance of this match for both sides, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Gillingham have struggled at home, but Crewe's away record is also really poor, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
34.01%	26.43%	39.56%

Both teams to score 52.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.76%

52.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.05%

73.94%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.86%

29.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.92%

65.07%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.1%

25.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.12%

60.88%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 34.01%

Crewe Alexandra 39.55%

Draw 26.43%

Gillingham	Draw	Crewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.01%	1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.55%

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League One Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Plymouth Argyle Plymouth	38	24	8	6	67	41	26	80
2	Sheffield Wednesday Sheff Weds	36	23	9	4	64	27	37	78
3	Ipswich Town Ipswich	37	21	12	4	72	31	41	75
4	Barnsley	36	22	6	8	60	31	29	72
5	Derby County Derby	37	18	10	9	59	37	22	64
6	Bolton Wanderers Bolton	38	18	10	10	52	31	21	64
7	Peterborough United Peterborough	37	19	3	15	63	47	16	60
8	Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe	37	18	6	13	50	35	15	60
9	Portsmouth	37	15	12	10	51	42	9	57
10	Shrewsbury Town Shrewsbury	37	16	7	14	47	41	6	55
11	Charlton Athletic Charlton	37	12	12	13	52	49	3	48
12	Fleetwood Town Fleetwood	37	11	13	13	39	38	1	46
13	Exeter City Exeter	36	12	10	14	48	48	0	46
14	Lincoln City Lincoln	36	9	18	9	33	38	-5	45
15	Bristol Rovers	37	12	9	16	50	60	-10	45
16	Port Vale	37	12	8	17	38	53	-15	44
17	Cheltenham Town Cheltenham	37	12	7	18	32	47	-15	43
18	Burton Albion	36	11	8	17	47	70	-23	41
19	Oxford United Oxford Utd	37	9	10	18	39	49	-10	37
20	MK Dons	37	10	6	21	33	54	-21	36
21	Accrington Stanley Accrington	37	8	11	18	30	58	-28	35
22	Morecambe	38	7	13	18	37	62	-25	34
23	Cambridge United Cambridge	37	8	6	23	28	59	-31	30
24	Forest Green Rovers Forest Green	37	5	8	24	28	71	-43	23