Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
