Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
