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League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
CU
Fleetwood
1 - 1
Cambridge
Lane (72')
Camps (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pilkington (65' og.)
May (41'), Okedina (81')

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Cambridge United

Fleetwood can close the gap between the clubs to just four points with a victory, and recent results suggest that they are capable of winning a fourth game from six Highbury Stadium outings since the start of December. Though their dramatic cup exit will not derail their opponents, momentum could be stalled, and an impressive unbeaten run may come to an end on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
42.01%25.8%32.18%
Both teams to score 54.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.96%50.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98%72.02%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.37%23.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.28%57.72%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 42.01%
    Cambridge United 32.18%
    Draw 25.79%
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.46%
3-2 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.5%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 3.09%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 32.18%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418
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