Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 12.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.78%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 1-0 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
