Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
