We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-3 Rotherham United
Rotherham's away form will need to improve if they are to stay in contention for the League One title, while Crewe are desperate to pick up points both home and away as they aim to avoid the drop this season.
The hosts will fancy their chances of scoring this weekend, after finding the net in eight of their last 11 games at Gresty Road, but the Millers should do enough to claim all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.
