Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
