MX23RW : Sunday, January 29 00:59:58
SM
Sunday, January 29
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
1 - 3
Oxford Utd
Lakin (80')
Bostwick (38'), Akins (53'), Hemmings (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Taylor (1'), Holland (43'), Henry (84' pen.)
Brannagan (68')
Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
31.69%25.45%42.86%
Both teams to score 55.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3%48.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19%70.81%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36%22.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.74%56.27%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 31.69%
    Oxford United 42.86%
    Draw 25.45%
Burton AlbionDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.12%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 5.04%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.3%
3-0 @ 2.09%
4-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.69%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.56%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-2 @ 7.22%
1-3 @ 4.44%
0-3 @ 3.57%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 42.86%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth28187351292261
2Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27177347182958
3Ipswich TownIpswich28159453282554
4Derby CountyDerby27148540211950
5Bolton WanderersBolton29148737231450
6Barnsley2513483324943
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough261321143321141
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe27125103527841
9Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury28125113531441
10Exeter CityExeter28108104139238
11Portsmouth2691073432237
12Bristol Rovers28107114350-737
13Port Vale27106112836-836
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113333035
15Charlton AthleticCharlton2781094138334
16Lincoln CityLincoln2661372430-631
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood27611102930-129
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2785142334-1129
19Morecambe2769123140-927
20MK Dons2874172540-1525
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2567122441-1725
22Burton Albion2767143454-2025
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2774162346-2325
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2956182455-3121
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