Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
