Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
