These two sides have drawn plenty of matches in recent weeks, and we were close to backing another stalemate on Tuesday night. Wimbledon are due a victory, though, and we believe that the home side will edge a tight contest to secure a vital three points here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
