Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Derry City win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
