Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
