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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 4, 2021 at 1pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
VL
Sevilla
1 - 0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Villarreal

There are several reasons why Sevilla should triumph on Saturday, not least their unbeaten home streak compared to their visitors' woeful winless start away from home. The Andalusians have also assembled several dangerous attacking options in a deepening squad, which will leave too much work to do for the returning Gerard Moreno to bale out his misfiring Villarreal colleagues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.

Result
SevillaDrawVillarreal
47.86%26.51%25.63%
Both teams to score 47.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96%56.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.87%77.13%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56%23.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55%57.45%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66%37.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.87%74.13%
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 47.86%
    Villarreal 25.63%
    Draw 26.5%
SevillaDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 4.45%
3-1 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.86%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.76%
2-2 @ 4.47%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.62%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.25%
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.63%

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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid1512213392438
2GironaGirona15122134181638
3Atletico MadridAtletico13101230121831
4Barcelona1494127141331
5Athletic Bilbao1584330181228
6Real Sociedad157532618826
7Real BetisBetis156721816225
8Las PalmasLas Palmas156361313021
9Valencia155461720-319
10Getafe154741720-319
11Rayo Vallecano154741622-619
12Villarreal154472226-416
13AlavesAlaves154471419-516
14Osasuna154381725-815
15Sevilla142752020013
16Mallorca151861320-711
17CadizCadiz142571121-1011
18Celta Vigo141581424-108
19Granada1514101935-167
20Almeria1504111637-214
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