This has all of the makings of a very tricky match for Real Sociedad, who need to win to stay in top-four contention. Espanyol will enter the match in impressive form, but we believe that Real Sociedad's home record this season will be crucial and have backed the Basque side to record a narrow win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
