Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.91%) and 3-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
