MX23RW : Thursday, February 16 04:17:50
SM
Thursday, February 16
Jan 23, 2022 at 3.15pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid
2 - 2
Elche
Modric (82' pen.), Militao (90+2')
Militao (54'), Junior (72'), Alaba (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boye (42'), Milla (76')
Fidel (55')

We said: Real Madrid 2-0 Elche

Real Madrid will be back at full strength this weekend, and we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home victory here. Elche impressed in Thursday's Copa del Rey contest but are again likely to come up short against title-chasing Los Blancos at Bernabeu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 83.06%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 5.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.69%) and 1-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Real MadridDrawElche
83.06%11.8%5.14%
Both teams to score 40.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3%35.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.22%57.78%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.63%6.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.1%23.89%
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.75%57.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.82%89.18%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 83.04%
    Elche 5.14%
    Draw 11.8%
Real MadridDrawElche
2-0 @ 13.82%
3-0 @ 12.69%
1-0 @ 10.03%
4-0 @ 8.75%
2-1 @ 7.71%
3-1 @ 7.08%
4-1 @ 4.88%
5-0 @ 4.82%
5-1 @ 2.69%
6-0 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.98%
4-2 @ 1.36%
6-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 83.04%
1-1 @ 5.6%
0-0 @ 3.64%
2-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 11.8%
0-1 @ 2.03%
1-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 5.14%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona2118214373656
2Real Madrid21153344172748
3Real Sociedad21133531211042
4Atletico MadridAtletico21115530171338
5Real BetisBetis2110472722534
6Rayo Vallecano219662823533
7Athletic Bilbao219573122932
8Villarreal219482218431
9Osasuna218671919030
10Mallorca218491620-428
11GironaGirona216692731-424
12Sevilla216692329-624
13Real ValladolidValladolid2173111528-1324
14Celta Vigo2165102233-1123
15Almeria2164112534-922
16CadizCadiz215791733-1622
17Espanyol214982633-721
18Valencia2155112626020
19Getafe2147101828-1019
20ElcheElche2116141544-299
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