Sevilla will be in a confident mood after their win over West Ham, and they need to triumph on Sunday in order to stay in touch at the top of the division. We are expecting a tight match this weekend but believe that Sevilla will have enough quality, despite their injury problems, to secure a huge three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
