Sevilla need to keep winning if they are to stay in touch with Real Madrid, and we are expecting the visitors to triumph here. Osasuna deserve a lot of respect for another impressive campaign to date, but Sevilla have been excellent this season, and we fancy them to secure all three points on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
