SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Mallorca |
50.23% ( 0.21) | 25.71% ( 0.05) | 24.05% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.77% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.74% ( -0.39) | 54.25% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( -0.32) | 75.65% ( 0.32) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.07) | 21.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.25% ( -0.1) | 54.75% ( 0.1) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.23% ( -0.45) | 37.76% ( 0.45) |
