Atletico Madrid have been far from convincing so far this season, and, with plenty of momentum and home advantage, we back Los Rojillos to earn a valuable result.
While Simeone's men will be keen to bounce back from a disappointing defeat, their attention may be divided with a key Champions League clash looming, and Saturday will certainly not be a straightforward affair for the faltering champions.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
