Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 32.55% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
