Mallorca really need a win to ease their relegation concerns, but we are finding it difficult to back the home side here. Real Sociedad have not won on their travels in La Liga since the start of November, but we just have a feeling that the Basque outfit will shade this contest to collect all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
