Athletic have been the draw specialists on their travels in La Liga this season, sharing the points in eight of their 12 matches, while Mallorca have lost just twice in front of their own supporters this term. As a result, despite Athletic's excellent form, we are backing the two sides to play out an entertaining draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
