Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 15.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.63%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
