SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Getafe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Atletico Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Elche | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.81%) and 1-2 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
21.57% ( -0.98) | 27.51% ( 0.86) | 50.91% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.43% ( -3.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( -3.58) | 62.42% ( 3.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( -2.7) | 82.04% ( 2.7) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.12% ( -3.09) | 44.87% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.16% ( -2.58) | 80.83% ( 2.58) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( -1.53) | 24.83% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.58% ( -2.17) | 59.42% ( 2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.87% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 1.4)2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.46% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 15.52% ( 1.34) 0-2 @ 10.81% ( 0.49)1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.35)0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.35)0-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.11% Total : 50.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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