Sevilla really need to win this match, as they are likely to be seven points off the summit by the time that it kicks off, and we are backing the visitors to claim all three points courtesy of a narrow success, with Martial potentially scoring in successive matches for his new club.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.15%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
