SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Osasuna |
42.1% ( -0.01) | 27.08% ( -0.04) | 30.82% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.52% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.39% ( 0.16) | 55.61% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( 0.13) | 76.77% ( -0.13) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( 0.07) | 26.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.86% ( 0.09) | 61.14% ( -0.09) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( 0.12) | 33.01% ( -0.12) |
